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,1,December 8, 2023
Hoover Institution | Stanford University
The Hoover Project on China’s Global Sharp Power held an event titled: Industrial Policy Uncertainty in China on Friday, December 8, 2023 at 12:00 pm PT.
Will China maintain its comparative advantage in industrial policy? State-led investment boosts competitiveness today, but the long-run sustainability of this model depends crucially on policy efficiency. In this talk, Andrew Sinclair presented his work using a comprehensive dataset of all industrial policy announcements by China's State Council from 2008 to 2022 to find that policy uncertainty introduces a shadow financial cost that substantially reduces the efficiency of Chinese industrial policy. Industrial policies increase firm value, but investors heavily discount the value of future support because of the risk that policies may abruptly and arbitrarily change.
FEATURING
Andrew Sinclair is a Visiting Assistant Professor of Finance at Caltec, on leave from The University of Hong Kong. He is a financial economist studying modern China's financial system. He graduated with a PhD in finance from Yale University in 2017 and joined HKU the same year.
DISCUSSANT
Matthew Lowenstein is a Hoover Fellow at the Hoover Institution. He is an economic historian of late imperial and Republican-era China. Prior to entering academia, he worked as a securities analyst covering China equities at JCaptial Research.
,1,All 41 workers have been rescued from a collapsed tunnel in Uttarakhand after being trapped for more than two weeks, surviving on food and oxygen supplied through narrow pipes.
The group became trapped on November 12 when a landslide caused a portion of the tunnel they were digging to collapse.
Each worker was pulled out individually through a narrow passageway on a wheeled stretcher.
India's president has said she "feels relieved" after all 41 workers were rescued from the collapsed tunnel in Uttarakhand.
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,1,Here's how to log out of Facebook Messenger.
Usually, one might think that you can log out from your Messenger app. However, this is not the case. In the video, you'll be able to see how to correctly sign out of the Facebook Messenger app.
How To Log Out Of Facebook Messenger (Facebook App)
Launch the Facebook app
Tap on 'Menu' at the bottom right corner
Scroll down and tap on 'Settings & Privacy', then tap on 'Security'
Scroll down and select 'Security and login'
You'll be able to see the devices that you're logged in to.
Choose the Messenger app, then tap on the three dots beside it.
On the menu that appears, tap on 'Log Out'.
NB: You can also log out of Facebook messenger using Facebook mobile interface on the mobile browser of your phone.
Simply launch your favorite mobile browser
Go to facebook.com and sign in to your account.
Then follow the same steps above to get it done.
How To Log Out Facebook Messenger on Another Device:
If you want to sign out of Facebook messenger on a different device, you can easily find a device near you and log into your Facebook account.
Then navigate to the Security and Log in settings and you can remotely log out of Facebook messenger on any device.
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,1,➤ New video posted by SpaceX offers evidence relating to a Wall St. Journal report on Elon Musk: https://x.com/SpaceX/status/1744581130727391488
➤ New China sales data
➤ Giga Mexico report
➤ Model 3 Highland briefly appears on Tesla US site
➤ Advertising discussion
➤ Honda announces Series 0 EVs
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Editing assistance by Jasem Ashkanani
Music by Evan Schaeffer
Image(s) and/or footage used under license from Shutterstock.com
Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives
,1,January 17, 2024
Hoover Institution | Stanford University
Robert Barro, Paul M. Warburg Professor of Economics at Harvard University, and Francesco Bianchi, Louis J. Maccini Professor of Economics at Johns Hopkins University, discussed “Fiscal Influences on Inflation in OECD Countries, 2020-2022.”
PARTICIPANTS
Robert Barro, Francesco Bianchi, John Taylor, Annelise Anderson, Steven Blitz, Michael Bordo, Michael Boskin, Jeremy Bulow, Nicolas Caramp, Daniele Caratelli, Pedro Carvalho, John Cochrane, John Cogan, Abeer Dahiya, Sami Diaf, Doug Diamond, Christopher Erceg, Andy Filardo, Jared Franz, Bob Hall, Erick Hanushek, Joseph Haubrich, Thomas Helbling, Gregory Hess, Robert Hetzel, Laurie Hodrick, Robert Hodrick, Matthew Kahn, Greg Kaldor, Patrick Kehoe, Kevin Kliesen, Evan Koenig, Don Kosh, Jeff Lacker, David Laidler, Mickey Levy, John Lipsky, Dennis Lockhart, Dante Mangiaracina, Klaus Masuch, Axel Merk, Roger Mertz, Alexander Mihailov, Ilian Mihov, Casey Mulligan, Emi Nakamura, Fernanda Nechio, David Neumark, David Papell, Elena Pastorino, Paul Peterson, Charles Plosser, Ned Prescott, Alvin Rabushka, Valerie Ramey, Flavio Rovida, Paola Sapienza, Lawrence Schembri, Apostolos Serletis, Pierre Siklos, Chris Sims, Richard Sousa, Jack Tatom, Yevgeniy Teryoshin, Jose Ursua, Carl Walsh, Kevin Warsh, Robert Willis, Luigi Zingales
ISSUES DISCUSSED
Robert Barro, Paul M. Warburg Professor of Economics at Harvard University, and Francesco Bianchi, Louis J. Maccini Professor of Economics at Johns Hopkins University, discussed “Fiscal Influences on Inflation in OECD Countries, 2020-2022.”
John Taylor, the Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics at Stanford University and the George P. Shultz Senior Fellow in Economics at the Hoover Institution, was the moderator.
PAPER SUMMARY
The fiscal theory of the price level (FTPL) has been active for 30 years, and the interest in this theory grew with the recent global surges in inflation and government spending. This study applies the FTPL to 37 OECD countries for 2020-2022. The theory’s centerpiece is the government’s intertemporal budget constraint, which relates a country’s inflation rate in 2020-2022 (relative to a baseline rate) to a composite government-spending variable. This variable equals the cumulative increase in the ratio of government expenditure to GDP from 2020 to 2022, divided by the ratio of public debt to GDP in 2019 and the duration of the debt in 2019. This specification has substantial explanatory power for recent inflation rates across 20 non-Euro-zone countries and an aggregate of 17 Euro-zone countries. The estimated coefficients of the composite spending variable are significantly positive, implying that 40-50% of effective government financing came from the inverse effect of unexpected inflation on the real value of public debt, whereas 50-60% reflected conventional public finance (increases in current or future taxes or cuts in future spending). Within the Euro area, inflation reacts mostly to the area-wide government-spending variable, not to individual values.
To read the paper, click the following link
https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/2024-01/Fiscal%20Theory%20102023.pdf
To read the slides, click the following link
https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/2024-01/Fiscal%20Influences%20on%20Inflation%20in%20OECD%20Countries.pdf
,1,➤ Musk appears on Joe Rogan’s podcast and discussed the Cybertruck, among other topics
➤ Form 4 for Drew Baglino
➤ Update on Giga Mexico permits
➤ Tesla wins Autopilot lawsuit
➤ PG&E provides update on previous Megapack fire
➤ Toyota announces additional battery investment
➤ Chevy Equinox EV pricing
➤ FAA completes safety review for Starship
➤ Calendar
0:00 TSLA / intro
0:23 New Form 4
1:19 Cybertruck updates
6:45 Giga Mexico permits
7:35 Autopilot lawsuit
8:15 Megapack fire update
9:17 Toyota increases battery investment
10:35 Chevy Equinox EV
11:20 FAA approval
11:55 FOMC
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,1,⚠️⚠️⚠️FINAL Coupon BRIEFLY extended 11:59pm https://metkevin.com/join | Course Member Lives, Trades, Fundamental Analysis, and More.
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,1,This week's top stories of the week include:
0:15 World's first malaria vaccination programme – Cameroon is offering the vaccine free of charge to every child aged 6 months or under. Thousands of lives could be saved as a result. In 2022, malaria killed 580,000 people in Africa. That’s 95% of all deaths from malaria that year.
2:06 Panama canal drought halting shipping – Traffic has been limited to 24 ships per day. 14 fewer than under normal conditions. The canal is in the grip of the worst drought in its 143-year history. It has already had a significant impact on global trade. The Panama Canal is one of the world’s most important trade routes.
3:59 Why character can determine our success – Most people see cognitive skills such as maths or literacy as key to growth, he says. When Adam Grant believes it’s qualities such as determination that matter most.
6:58 How the bioeconomy can save the Amazon – In a bioeconomy, food, materials and energy are produced using renewable resources. Fany Kuiru Castro is the first woman to lead the Coordinating Body of Indigenous Organisations of the Amazon Basin (COICA). An organization that represents 511 Indigenous peoples in the 9 Amazonian countries.
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,1,Buildings were destroyed and cars turned upside down as Israel continued its retaliatory strikes on the Gaza Strip, Monday. Airstrikes had destroyed 159 housing units across Gaza and severely damaged 1,210 others, the United Nations said on Sunday.
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