2045년부터 세종 포함 모든 시도 출생아, 사망자로 자연감소 전망
There's another grim population forecast, this time, indicating all regions in the country will start to see the number of deaths exceed that of births in about two decades.
Park Kun-woo has more.
The population in all of the 17 administrative divisions in South Korea is expected to see a natural decline with the number of deaths exceeding that of births from the year 2045.
Already, 16 of the 17 divisions are seeing a natural decline.
That's according to the "Population Estimates: 2022 to 2052" data released by Statistics Korea on Tuesday.
Currently, Sejong city was the only one out of the 17 administrative divisions that saw a natural increase in its population in 2022.
But according to estimates, even Sejong will see a natural decrease in its population in around 20 years' time.
It is estimated that the number of newborns there will stay at around three to four-thousand a year until 2052 but death figures will soar up to 5-thousand a year.
And all the other 16 administrative divisions will see natural decreases in their population as well.
Also in 2052, all of the country's administrative divisions apart from Sejong City and Gyeonggi-do Province will see their total population fall compared to 2022, with Sejong and Gyeonggi-do seeing an inflow from other regions.
The working population aged 15 to 64 will also decrease by 2052 in all administrative divisions except for Sejong due to the continuous low birth rate.
Ulsan city, in the southeast of the country, is expected to
see its workforce shrink from 810-thousand in 2022 to 410-thousand in 2052, which is almost a 50 percent decrease.
And every part of the country will be seeing increases in the proportion of people aged 65 and over.
In 2052, that age group will account for nearly half of the total population in Jeollanam-do Province and Gyeongsangbuk-do Province.
The age group is expected to account for over 45 percent of the total population in Gyeongsangnam-do and Gangwon-do provinces.
Park Kun-woo, Arirang News.
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2024-05-28, 18:00 (KST)
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