President Biden and former President Donald Trump will go head-to-head in the earliest presidential debate ever on Thursday. It is also the first contest between a president and former president in over a century and the first debate not run by the Commission on Presidential Debates since 1988.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether historical expectations for presidential debates will apply in this unique situation. They also dissect some questionable uses of polling and preview a couple of high-profile primary races in New York and Colorado.
Download the full audio podcast episode: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,pFD1lbg7mIM,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_pFD1lbg7mIM,The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,Z9TIrYVGVlc,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_Z9TIrYVGVlc,538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,Hv8Oo2dUWug,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_Hv8Oo2dUWug,In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll suggests that economic sentiment data might be even more warped by partisanship than we thought. After that, it’s another round of "Buy, Sell, Hold." Will the Senate confirm Tulsi Gabbard as director of national intelligence? Will President-elect Donald Trump pardon himself? Finally, the crew considers whether 2024 will go down as the death knell of the incumbent advantage.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,aTovXTK7QBE,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_aTovXTK7QBE,Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy. Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
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,1,Since Thursday, the only story in American politics has been President Joe Biden's poor debate performance and what on earth Democrats are going to do about it. That was until today, when the Supreme Court ruled that American presidents have legal immunity for official acts.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, about the details of the Supreme Court's ruling. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich and Tia Yang discuss the continued fallout from the presidential debate.
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Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,1,President Biden and former President Donald Trump will go head-to-head in the earliest presidential debate ever on Thursday. It is also the first contest between a president and former president in over a century and the first debate not run by the Commission on Presidential Debates since 1988.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether historical expectations for presidential debates will apply in this unique situation. They also dissect some questionable uses of polling and preview a couple of high-profile primary races in New York and Colorado.
Download the full audio podcast episode: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
Website: http://fivethirtyeight.com/
Merch: http://fivethirtyeight.com/store
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Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fivethirtyeight/
Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,1,WARNING: Tucker Carlson Says "End is Near"
Tucker Carlson predicted Thursday that the general election will not be between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, and he’s probably right.
,1,New polling shows a dramatic shift of American voters who identify as independent and Democrat leaning towards voting Republican. John Iadarola and Michael Shure break it down on The Damage Report.
Read more here:
Fox News Poll Gives Joe Biden Highest Approval Rating in Nine Months - https://www.newsweek.com/fox-news-poll-gives-joe-biden-highest-approval-rating-nine-months-1752339
"A Fox News poll has found that, ahead of crucial midterm elections, President Joe Biden's approval rating is the highest it's been in nine months, based on the poll's previous surveys.
The poll, conducted under the joint direction of Beacon Research and Shaw & Company Research, found that Biden's approval rating now stands at 46 percent, while 53 percent of respondents disapproved of him.
Though the survey found that the president's approval remains in negative territory, his approval rating is the highest it's been in a Fox News poll since January, when it stood at 47 percent."
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,1,Edward Frenkel is a mathematician at UC Berkeley working on the interface of mathematics and quantum physics. He is the author of Love and Math: The Heart of Hidden Reality. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors:
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0:00 - Introduction
1:10 - Mathematics in the Soviet Union
11:20 - Nature of reality
22:39 - Scientific discoveries
36:00 - Observing reality
52:12 - Complex numbers
1:00:58 - Imagination
1:08:49 - Pythagoreanism
1:16:44 - AI and love
1:29:22 - Gödel's Incompleteness Theorems
1:49:48 - Beauty in mathematics
1:54:17 - Eric Weinstein
2:16:12 - Langlands Program
2:22:51 - Edward Witten
2:25:57 - String theory
2:31:25 - Theory of everything
2:40:18 - Mathematics in academia
2:45:45 - How to think
2:51:31 - Fermat's Last Theorem
3:06:22 - Eric Weinstein and Harvard
3:13:47 - Antisemitism
3:34:00 - Mortality
3:41:58 - Love
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,1,Molly Wright, a student from Queensland, Australia, is a passionate advocate for early childhood development. At just seven years old, she's one of the youngest people ever to give a TED Talk. Watch her full TED Talk: https://youtu.be/aISXCw0Pi94
