Galen unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley and White House correspondent MaryAlice Parks.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,pFD1lbg7mIM,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_pFD1lbg7mIM,The 538 crew discusses the global anti-incumbent wave and examines whether Democrats in the U.S. had it the worst.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,Z9TIrYVGVlc,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_Z9TIrYVGVlc,538’s Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich share their thoughts on Tulsi Gabbard, Trump's pick for director of national intelligence.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,Hv8Oo2dUWug,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_Hv8Oo2dUWug,In this Thanksgiving week installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew sits down for a three-course discussion. First, a new poll suggests that economic sentiment data might be even more warped by partisanship than we thought. After that, it’s another round of "Buy, Sell, Hold." Will the Senate confirm Tulsi Gabbard as director of national intelligence? Will President-elect Donald Trump pardon himself? Finally, the crew considers whether 2024 will go down as the death knell of the incumbent advantage.
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,FiveThirtyEight,538,podcast,p_cmsid=2494279,p_vid=news-,aTovXTK7QBE,UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, Politics,Society, channel_UCXKjhxsfFQUqlNVQzLVnpEA, video_aTovXTK7QBE,Polls of Latino voters during the 2024 election were a mixed bag of accuracy. Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke explain why accurate polling of Latino voters has proved difficult.
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,1,Since Thursday, the only story in American politics has been President Joe Biden's poor debate performance and what on earth Democrats are going to do about it. That was until today, when the Supreme Court ruled that American presidents have legal immunity for official acts.
In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Jessica Roth, a law professor and former federal prosecutor, about the details of the Supreme Court's ruling. Then 538's Nathaniel Rakich and Tia Yang discuss the continued fallout from the presidential debate.
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,1,In this late night installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew breaks down the results of the special election in New York's 3rd congressional district. Democrat Tom Suozzi beat Republican Mazi Pilip in a race to replace former Rep. George Santos.
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,1,OpenAI launched ChatGPT launched on Nov. 30, 2022. And quickly, the program changed the conversation around what is possible for artificial intelligence. In the past 12 months, we've seen campaign videos featuring AI-generated images, legislative proposals and a congressional hearing on AI regulation. By all accounts, the 2024 presidential election is going to be our first "AI election." However, often the specifics around AI’s impact remain vague. How exactly could it impact our electoral politics?
In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, the interim dean of the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago. Bueno de Mesquita’s research focuses on game theory, political conflict and electoral accountability, and he recently co-authored the white paper "Preparing for Generative AI in the 2024 Election: Recommendations and Best Practices Based on Academic Research."
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,1,Galen unpacks the fourth Republican primary debate from Tuscaloosa, Alabama with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley and White House correspondent MaryAlice Parks.
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Podcast: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/fivethirtyeight-politics/id1077418457?mt=2
,1,The Republican primary is officially a two-person race. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew talks about Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis dropping out of the presidential race, expectations for New Hampshire and the future of the Republican primary. They also consider whether a poll asking New Hampshire residents how well they understand the 14th Amendment is a good use of polling.
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,1,Galen Druke sat down with three supporters of former President Donald Trump, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley in Manchester, New Hampshire, to talk about why they’re voting for their chosen candidates. The Haley supporter, who voted for President Joe Biden in 2020, said that if Haley does not win the primary, she will vote for Biden or independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the fall. The DeSantis supporter said he was committed to voting for Trump if he wins the primary, even if the former president is convicted of a felony before Election Day. (This was filmed before DeSantis dropped out of the race.)
Immigration was the number one issue for the Trump and DeSantis supporters, while leadership qualities were most important to the Haley supporter. Although these are just three people and not a representative sample, the themes we heard mentioned were reflective of the kinds of trends we’ve seen in recent issue polling in New Hampshire.
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