Active farside regions are rotating back into Earth-view and firing large flares! Region 3901 leads the charge with an M3.7-flare earlier today. Expect #RadioBlackout risk & dayside radio band noise to increase this week. Earth-directed #solarstorm risk also rises now. #shorts
,,bJGGHezyQO4,UCkXjdDQ-db0xz8f4PKgKsag, Knowledge, channel_UCkXjdDQ-db0xz8f4PKgKsag, video_bJGGHezyQO4,This is an excerpt from the full forecast, "Multiple Solar Storms Come and an Historic Far Side Blast | Space Weather News 28 November 2024," which you can see here: https://youtu.be/1P4sCwn8TZI #shorts
,,dKa8nju4Em0,UCkXjdDQ-db0xz8f4PKgKsag, Knowledge, channel_UCkXjdDQ-db0xz8f4PKgKsag, video_dKa8nju4Em0,This is an excerpt from my full forecast "Coronal Holes, Fast Wind, and Filament Eye Candy | Space Weather Spotlight 14 November 2024" on You Tube. See the link for the full forecast: https://youtu.be/lGpDztCtTwY #shorts
,1,00:00:00 | Welcome and Sound Check
00:03:34 | BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front) Forecast
00:22:22 | Solar Storm and Aurora Five-Day Outlooks
00:25:06 | Solar Flare and Dayside Radio Blackout Five-Day Outlook
00:26:32 | Radiation Storm and Polar Aviation Five Day Outlook
00:27:05 | Post BLUF Q&A and Deep Dive
This live forecast was made by and for patrons of Patreon. Without their generosity this briefing could not have been made.
,1,This week our Sun stays active but has terrible aim. Earth has dodged at least four solar storms launched off the Earth-facing Sun. The only expected impact will be from some fast solar wind over the next couple of days, but that shouldnt cause too much trouble for radio amateurs participating in "Field Day" this weekend. Aurora photographers at high latitudes might get a chance for some good views though. We are also anticipating old Region 3697, which will begin to rotate back into Earth view starting around Saturday. Expect the chance for big flares and radio blackouts to begin to rise again as we move into next week. This region has been busy firing big flares and storms on the Sun's farside so we could see this behavior continue once it rotates into view. Learn the details of the coming fast solar wind, watch some of the gorgeous filament eruptions over the past couple of days, as well as some that have yet to erupt, and see what else our Sun has in store.
This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
https://www.millersville.edu/swen
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/TamithaSkov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: http://www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: http://www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/latestCMEs.html
GOES Xray: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xray_1m.html
SOHO: http://sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: http://stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: https://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/standard_movie.html
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: http://gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK http://www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind
ACE Solar Wind: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-real-time-solar-wind
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystemWebApp/iSWACygnetStreamer?timestamp=2038-01-23+00%3A44%3A00&window=-1&cygnetId=261
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa-enlil-solar-wind-prediction
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-magnetometer
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-region-absorption-predictions-d-rap/
Radio Propagation: https://www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlantic-mf-hf-propagation-20min-persistence/
Near-Earth radiation environment: https://spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/products-data/forecasts
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aurora-30-minute-forecast
Global 3-hr Kp index: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/planetary-k-index
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: http://geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: http://www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: http://spaceweather.com
iSWA: http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.
,,eXyYnG3FpX4,UCkXjdDQ-db0xz8f4PKgKsag, Knowledge, channel_UCkXjdDQ-db0xz8f4PKgKsag, video_eXyYnG3FpX4,Active farside regions are rotating back into Earth-view and firing large flares! Region 3901 leads the charge with an M3.7-flare earlier today. Expect #RadioBlackout risk & dayside radio band noise to increase this week. Earth-directed #solarstorm risk also rises now. #shorts
